Job Market Paper

Experimentation Priorities with Biased Experts [PDF]

Working Papers

Endogenous News in Bandit Problems (Draft coming soon)

Rank Guarantees in Matching Markets [PDF]

Strategically Ambiguous Deterrence (Draft coming soon)

Marimar and Cristina Torres Prize for the best third-year graduate research paper

Work in Progress

  • (Multi)calibrating Expert Output

    Learning when an expert is accurate is at least as important as learning how accurate she is on average: a generalist may be unreliable for subject-matter expertise; an AI agent who produces acceptable output in 95% of interactions may fail unpredictably in particular contexts. I develop a model where a decision maker continually obtains information from an expert. Both the verification of output and the acceptance of inaccurate output are costly. The decision maker benefits from being multicalibrated on an expert's accuracy over distinct problems: knowing how accurate predictions are in different situations empowers him to direct verification effort more efficiently later. How should verification effort evolve over time, and how may dependence on the expert be limited by verification costs?

  • Attentional Market Power on Congested Platforms, with Anaïs Galdin and Jesse Silbert

    Recent studies document how LLMs have hindered signalling and impeded search in job markets. We seek to study how a more challenging search environment may impact the behavior and outcomes of applicants who do manage to get a foot in the door. We conjecture that in this new environment, prospective applicants may be empowered to demand higher prices conditional on employer interest, given an expectation that employers face a more difficult continued search. With large-scale data on bids and subsequent interactions for tasks on Freelancer.com, we find suggestive evidence that the rate of successful hiring declined even conditional on breakthroughs to communication. We seek to decompose how much this is driven by a breakdown in screening, and how much this reflects an exercise of greater “attentional market power” by applicants who break through.

Department of Economics, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA